NWS issues prelim October temperature outlook

The projection reveals that most of the country is leaning toward experiencing above-average temperatures next month

Oct. 2026 temp outlook

Image: NWS

The National Weather Service (NWS) on Thursday released its preliminary October temperature outlook, showing how temps are expected to fare next month. 

What’s happening: The outlook points to a part of the Southeast, including all of Florida, as having the greatest chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures during the month — with ‘normal’ defined as the 30-year average — at between 50 and 60 percent.

  • Meanwhile, the Mountain West and Western Great Plains are the only areas in the mainland with equal chances of temperatures being above, near, or below normal during the month. 
  • No part of the U.S. is set to face below-normal temperatures in October, per the outlook.

What’s next: The NWS will release a final October outlook on September 30.

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