February’s temperature outlook
Most of the U.S. faces equal chances of temperatures being above or below ‘normal’ — their 30-year average — during the month
Alec Stevanovski
January 26, 2026
Image: NOAA
The National Weather Service (NWS) has published its February U.S. temperature outlook.
What’s happening: Most of the country faces equal chances of temperatures being above or below ‘normal’ — their 30-year average — during the month.
- A swath of states across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, however, is set to experience below-normal temperatures, per the outlook.
- And much of the Southeast, along with the southern parts of California, Arizona, and New Mexico, are the only areas where temps are projected to be above normal.
The big picture: February’s outlook echoes the broader first-quarter outlook published by the NWS in mid-December.
📬 Get our stories in your inbox
Keep reading
$12 billion mini-split maker expands into U.S.
AUX, a leading Chinese HVAC manufacturer, is expanding into the U.S. after nearly 40 years of operating internationally
HVAC distributor sales grow in July, despite economic uncertainty
HARDI members' sales grew 6.8 percent year-over-year in July, according to the company's latest monthly report