NWS issues final October temperature outlook

Above-normal temperatures are likely in the West and Florida, according to the agency

October temperature outlook

Image: National Weather Service

The National Weather Service (NWS) on Wednesday released its final Monthly Temperature Outlook for October, following a preliminary outlook issued a couple of weeks prior. 

  • NWS outlooks show the likelihood that the average temperature for a given month will fall above, near, or below normal across the U.S., with “normal” based on conditions between 1991 and 2020. 

What’s happening: Wednesday’s release shows western states as having a 33 to 60 percent chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures during the month. 

  • California, parts of western Nevada and southern Oregon, and Florida face the highest chances of above-normal temps. 
  • A swath of the country stretching from Texas through New England is shown as having equal chances of temperatures being above, near, or below normal.

Of note: The NWS’s preliminary outlook predicted almost the reverse: That in October, the Texas-to-New England swath would lean above normal, and many western states would have equal chances of above, near, or below-normal temps. 

What we’re watching: Contractors in areas with persisting warm temperatures could see a slower shift from cooling to heating demand in October. 

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