Fall forecast: Warmer than usual

U.S. temperatures will likely be above normal from October through December, according to the National Weather Service

Fall

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Fall temperatures will probably be warmer than usual across most of the U.S., according to the National Weather Service’s seasonal temperature outlook for October through December.  

What’s happening: There’s a 60 to 70 percent chance that temperatures will be above normal in New Mexico and West Texas during the months. 

  • For the rest of the Southwest, plus New England and South Florida, the likelihood sits at 50 to 60 percent, per the outlook. 
  • Only along the Canadian border are there equal chances of temps being above, near, or below normal; everywhere else faces a 33 to 50 percent chance that temperatures will be warmer than usual. 
  • Full map

Why it matters: The outlook could mean a delayed start to heating season. 

The big picture: According to the EPA, since 1896, average fall temperatures across the contiguous 48 states have increased by about 1.6°F.

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